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Sunday, March 17, 2013

Wash, Rince, Repeat

I read this article in Bloomberg the other day about the new Private Equity entities buying
thousands of single family homes with bundles of money lent to them for the purpose.   
 
Since there are no individuals that can get a loan on the massive numbers of foreclosed houses 
sitting on the market regardless of interest rates or valuations (One of the main culprits is 
still trying to figure out the value of the property), the loose fed money floating into the 
banking system has yielded another result; The banks and their gambling clients who STILL 
borrow from them for their casino games just as they did before the crash, take the loose 
Fed cash sitting on the books, lend it to private equity et al, who in turn will buy tens 
of thousands of the houses and convert them to rentals. Then these mega loans can be securitize 
in the same way they used to securitize the sub-prime garbage lent out to individuals during the
real estate bubble, and sell the debt in tranches to "investors" and make a bundle. Then of 
course there are derivatives and other kinds of fun financial "products" you can create from 
the debt instruments. And the beat goes on...

Meanwhile the poor suckers who will never be able to buy a house again (the vanishing home owing 
class, I refuse to call them "middle class" just because they could buy a mass produced, cookie 
cutter poorly built, low quality slap it up stick and press board built plastic siding suburban 
"house"), will rent from these new mega house owning faceless corporations, who will inevitably 
hire "nationally owned" McDonald's quality contractors to do everything from service the HVAC to 
take care of the lawns, turning what is left of the independent trade business owner who makes 
his money (and decent money at that) servicing individual home owners, into a low wage earning 
employee of some mega national home servicing company. This is when the last vestiges of "middle 
class" opportunity vanish from the landscape forever.  Think "Brazil" the movie. 
 
I gave this "party" we are having with entirely reckless monetary policies until April 2013 about
18 months ago.  Perhaps I was a bit ahead of the curve?  Time will tell.  But either way one looks
at the situation; the continued overly broad and dysfunctional influence of the financial "industry"
over our economy without productive investment happening, along with our ineffectual government, 
over influence by monetary "authorities" over the direction of our economy (to the extent of 
obsession), and lack of wealth creation on the part of individuals or industry, this slow motion
train wreck is likely to stop moving forward soon in a tangle of nearly impossible wreckage to clean
up. 

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