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Showing posts with label Blackstone. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Blackstone. Show all posts

Sunday, March 17, 2013

Banks Offloading Risk to Who?

Here is another rant inspired by a Bloomberg article I read a couple weeks ago.  Those folks at Bloomberg do some very informative reporting.

Everything in the article is fascinating.  To imagine for an instant, after the absolute crash we had in credit markets such a short time ago and the reality that technically, as I write this post, dozens of very large banks around the globe are insolvent if they were required to be honest about the current market value of the "assets" on their balance sheets, that the monetary "authorities" around the world would even entertain the idea that banks could "buy" credit protection against default of loans on their books is ludicrous, insane, archaic, incomprehensible and absolute madness, yet it is happening!!!

The only question one has to ask is, "Who are these people providing "insurance" on these portfolios of loans banks are buying and what capital do they employ to show that in a crises they could actually provide the "protection" they are offering?"  We are just living Credit Crises 2.0 in the making.  There are still tens of trillions of dollars of "credit protection" out there being bought, sold, securitized, traded, passed off, derivativeized etc. by a completely unregulated global financial "industry" for crying out loud, with no rational capital requirements or other oversight by anyone and being backstopped by governments, who are already ill equipped to do anything to prevent another disaster!!

The fact that institutions still functioning as "banks" with the backing of their activities by "taxpayers" through "insurance" still go about gambling on a global scale is insane to say the least and downright financially apoplectic to put it in real terms.

Now we have the largest "money manager" in the US, Blackstone, orchestrating "insurance" against losses on pools of loans on the books of international financial institutions.  Since when is Blackstone an insurance company?  And what assurances do we have that those who have provided the "insurance" actually have the capability of delivering on this insurance? Are we really going to let a government insured global institution hold less capital against their loan book because they have purchased "insurance" from an unregulated industry?

From what I see of this deal between Blackstone and Citigroup it looks like the same financial engineering that Greece used to hide liabilities and underreport the amount of debt they had on their books when lying to the ECB and European Governments.  It may be a different way going about it, but the effect is the same, and where did it get Greece?

From the article:
“It’s a form of financial engineering,” said Philippe Bodereau, London-based head of European credit research at Pacific Investment Management Co., the world’s largest bond investor.
According to the article, Blackstone was able to do this because of how "regulators are viewing loan exposures".  Hmmm, so regulators are now thinking banks can financially engineer their balance sheets to offload exposure to loans on their books. 

I will never forget when back in 2006 when Bernanke actually said that banks had become sophisticated enough to manage risk and that implied regulation and oversight was not as needed in the past.  This mind think from the Fed, Treasury and our congress (who passed the deregulation at the encouragement of Wall Street firms and the Fed) was the most ignorant and destructive thinking that ever perpetuated our collective attitude towards the financial industry.  These people were all seduced by the same greed that drives the industry and to think for a minute the financial industry in a capitalist system has ANY objective but to create ways to scrape as much cash from the national (now global) till as humanly possible until there simply is no more, is to have a lobotomy!

Without strong and active regulation in a capitalist system is to turn all humanity into slaves.  You might as well just put everyone in a meat grinder and feed them to those who know how to best exploit the system.

Back to the article.  This is a notable quote:
The Blackstone deal is one of the first examples involving a private-equity firm, which traditionally look to take a more active role in managing assets. It demonstrates the extent to which banks are prepared to pay up for capital when other sources, such as issuing shares or unsecured bonds, are closed.
What does this say?  1) Private equity, traditionally having a history of actually managing the firms (assets) they take an interest in (though mostly they find cash rich companies, rape them, load them with debt, then float them again), now are interested in filling a role of "financial engineering" to the banking industry because no real investor will buy the bank's "shares, unsecured bonds" or whatever other shit they can come up with to raise money, cause any real investor knows they are INSOLVENT!!  But it does seem that a bunch of investors in the world of "unregulated finance" are more than willing to take millions of dollars of the bank's money to help the banks further understate their liabilities.  Why not?  There is absolutely NO RISK in doing so because the next time the "shit hits the fan" the unregulated pigs can just go out of business.  They have already banked their millions in fees providing this "service" to the industry and as we all know, NOBODY anywhere in the world was held accountable for anything that happened in 2008-09, NOBODY. So why the hell not take the banks money while they have it.

Thinking this quote though will almost make you laugh:
Private-equity firms have struggled to achieve returns exceeding 10 percent after banks cut off credit in the aftermath of the financial crisis, starving the industry of the leverage required to match previous returns. 
So poor private equity has been cut off from loose credit because the banks are insolvent.  So what to do.  Hmmm, why don't we find a way to make the banks look solvent. Then they can go back to reckless lending to us again.  Genius!

So what is the debt?  Part of a $500 billion book of loans out the "shipping industry", an industry that if you read anything now, is floating on borrowed time.   Commerzbank, an institution everyone knows is technically insolvent, made some risk adjustments to their books and wallah, lowered their reserve requirements by over $9 billion. This is significant. Citi is trying to offload it's reserve requirements to the same industry.  We all know where this is going.

I like this quote to:
Blackstone spent five months to develop a structure that the Financial Services Authority, the U.K.’s financial regulator, would accept, one of the people said.
You know, if it took five months to "develop a structure" that there was another year prior to that with a bunch of computer programs and mathematicians creating "models" and other "engineered" outcomes to ultimately approach regulators with the proposal.  And we all know, the smart people are NOT the regulators.

And how does the article end?
“The government is jumping up and down asking banks to lend more to small and medium-sized businesses at the same time as stricter capital rules come in,” Walsh said. “The banks can either say: ’I’m sorry, we’ll have to wait until people pay off their loans,’ or the regulators could look at sensible ways of releasing those assets from their banks’ balance sheets so as to free-up capital to allow them to lend to more businesses.” 
"The government", yea the same government that deregulated the financial industry while allowing taxpayers to stay on the hook to their activities, and has, in the case of the US, failed to even pass it's own budget for three years; the same government that bought into the idea that they did not need to be involved in the rapidly globalizing financial industry that has become way to large and unwieldy for ANY central bank to bail out; the same government that does not even understand how to manage a balance sheet; that government is now looking for ways to allow their insolvent banking industry to "lend more".  Go figure. 





Sunday, March 01, 2009

Blackstone Numbers

I just looked over the Blackstone numbers and although I am no genius in understanding their business model, it looks like they took some hits in their portfolio values and more will come in 2009. This is how the FT presented the story:

Blackstone reveals $827m quarterly loss
By Henny Sender in New York, Published: February 28 2009 02:00 | Last updated: February 28 2009 02:00

Blackstone yesterday revealed a fourth-quarter loss of $827m, reflecting extensive markdowns in the value of its private equity and real estate investments, and told investors it would not pay them a dividend for the quarter...

"Last year was the year investment banks and hedge funds were undressed," says the co-founder of one of Blackstone's peers. "This year, it is the turn of private equity."

Blackstone said its corporate portfolio lost almost $4bn in value for the year, a 29 per cent decline. The value of its property holdings plunged 40 per cent.
Neither the earnings announcement nor remarks on conference calls gave investors reason to believe that earnings growth was likely to pick up soon, given the dramatic downturn in the global economy.

Tony James, Blackstone president, referred to current economic conditions as a depression.

Fascinating to me is Blackstone is a "manager" of the assets they bought hence, their "fee" income will decline if those "assets" they have in their portfolio fail to perform but Blackstone itself seems to have structured itself as a fee earning company while all of the "assets" are off the Blackstone balance sheet.

So, if I have it correctly, Blackstone gets investors together, does a major leveraged buyout (when money was available), pays itself handsome transaction fees, might put a little skin in the game up front, then does a "management contract" with the entity they arranged the buyout of, thus earning more fees, but allows the bought asset to operate "off the books" of Blackstone. I guess it is kind of like the hotel model. Some investors put up some cash and borrow more money and build a hotel then hire a "brand" company to come in and manage the property. The "brand" in this case is Blackstone, carrying a management fee for managing the bought business (hiring CEO and upper management etc.) but the "investors" are "holding" the asset off the Blackstone books.

I am more than fuzzy on where the now $94 billion of assets under management reside. They took something like over $4 billion in write-downs in the 4th quarter with total assets under management declining like $8 billion for the year. But where are these assets?

Interestingly, "fee earning assets" increased by nearly the same amount. So how does this figure? In addition, it looks to me like the "partners" of Blackstone pulled nearly all of their own equity out of their real estate portfolio so Limited Partner Capital Deployed fell from nearly $15 billion to about $5.5 billion.

Well during the buyout hey day I wrote about how these "private equity" funds were literally robbing the banks of the corporate entities they took over, stealing all the cash through all kinds of "fee" transactions, bizarre payouts, "commissions", funding payouts etc. all the while leveraging them to the hilt. I had no idea they were so creative in removing these entities from any liability of Blackstone itself. So, I guess if there are bankruptcies in their assets under management they will figure out how to earn "fees" managing the bankruptcy, financing the bankruptcy, taking huge chunks of assets for pennies and eventually making a killing again when / if the companies emerge from bankruptcy and get floated back on the market. Gotta hand it to these guys.