Follow up to "Participants will Emerge" June 2019 Part 3

Here we go again. 

With a very questionable future for an economy that has just been "put on hold" for 3 months globally, mortgage interest rates are back to all time lows.  The Fed has ramped up, or lets say tripled down on its bailout of the "Financial" Industry.  Now we all know that in the midst of what was supposed to be the longest expansion in history accompanied with extraordinarily low unemployment (well officially) that the Fed was completely and utterly unable to "normalize" interest rates or it's balance sheet as witnessed in September of 2019.  The policies adopted at that time created the perfect climate for the stock market to rocket to record highs by early 2020. After the Fed decided to perpetuate the bubble in the Private Equity / Hedge Fund / Shadow Banking world that month after already admitting it could no longer raise interest rates months before we got Part 1 of a pro-cyclical bailout driven to prop up over levered speculators.  The COVID-19 shutdown BS perpetuated by the squeamish global elites and billionaires the world over created the perfect storm for Part 2 (or you could say Part X since this has been going on for over a decade now).

The current political leadership followed through with their promise to the corporate elites to dramatically reduce taxes (part of the reason the idiot was tolerated I am sure) during what was supposed to be a "Great Recovery" in the economy, including the lowest unemployment on record, a 10 year bull stock market, corporate profits that were setting records and buybacks that were setting records instead of using the economic growth cycle to re-balance the finances of the public coffers.  Instead the decision was made to follow through with political promises and dramatically increase the public debt during an economic growth period that brought "peacetime debt levels" close to those only comparable to war time numbers. To top it all off, massive stimulus was passed by congress and more was promised, infrastructure and the like.  Meanwhile the asset bubble created in the Financial Industry had become completely unsustainable. The search for "yield" to pad the pockets of all those folks who already control over 80% of the global "wealth" had resulted in leverage not seen since just before the crash of 2008-9. 

So the follow up on the "Participants will Emerge" theme was reawakened when I decided, in this stupid interest rate environment, to look into refinancing a mortgage with 75% equity simply to lock in a rate for 15 years to make sure when the fiat system implodes I'll have a fixed rate on my then worthless mortgage.  NO PARTICIPANTS EMERGED.  That's right.  An online search through one of the largest aggregators of mortgage companies with those who desire a mortgage only resulted in one bank willing to do a refinance.  When I finally was matched by some call center person to a "mortgage lender representative", who incidentally acted like this was her first ever deal, we did not get past some stupid questions about terms and whether I knew what my "credit score" was, which I could give a rats ass about.  When I told her "I pay my bills so I am sure it's fine lets just move forward," she hung up!  The second search for a VA option resulted in one lender as well who when I spoke to her on the phone, as soon as I said it was a refinance, she said, "We are not doing refinances right now".  I was like, "OK why?"  Well I don't have to tell you why, you likely already know.  The banks are up to their eyeballs dealing with people who DON'T WANT TO PAY THEIR MORTGAGE RIGHT NOW (which she would not say) but she did say "due to the drop in interest rates..."  Well I know what that means.

Nobody in their right mind will refinance a house at 3% for 15 years when the economy was just sent off a cliff and nobody knows if it will recover, when, how strongly and BTW we have millions of calls from people who DON'T WANT TO PAY THEIR MORTGAGE RIGHT NOW. 

OK so there you have it.  No Participants have yet emerged after 12 years Mr Federal Reserve Chairman and Treasury Secretary.  No Participants willing to buy mortgages at your artificially low rates outside of YOU and the federally sanctioned, technically insolvent, Fannie and Freddy.

At what point do you think "Participants Will Emerge" now?

ETF Products and Incompetent Fed

Last year (2019), before there was any news of "COVID-19" some large real estate funds in the UK has to stop withdraws.  Most of this was continued spillover going back to Britain's Exit from the EU which has been a slow train wreck for the commercial property market now for years.  These halts on withdraws started a conversation about the elephant in the room: ETF's in the US that hold long dated corporate debt of all kinds yet advertise themselves as "liquid".  Well so much for that.  Not only is advertising "liquid" totally misleading and should be illegal outright. Many found out that in reality these products should not be in existence at all. Yet they are and now the Fed is endorsing these misleading funds that should be banned.

ETF products are as the acronym states: Exchange Traded Funds.  Now, why on earth would the SEC have ever allowed, especially after the lessons learned during the last financial crises in the Money Market Industry (where those idiots managing money market accounts were buying long dated securities that became illiquid during the "crises") ETF's that hold long dated securities to advertise themselves as "liquid"?  The Money Markets had to be bailed out even though the Money Market Industry was SPECIFICALLY NOT INSURED and was clearly stated as so.  But then WTF?  Every Tom, Dick and Harry back then could get a quick banking license so they could put the US Taxpayer and the Fed on the hook for their survival... I could go on about that BS but you all know that history.

Here today we have an entire "industry" run by the largest "grey" banking organizations in the US, uninsured, speculating, monoliths. They are uninsured custodians to Trillions of Dollars.  They create ETF products, many of which "invest" or buy long dated debt with short term money given tho them by "investors" who want access to markets they have no business being into in the first place. These criminals, I mean grey monoliths, claim (and pay lots of money to PR organizations that promote them) to show, they "provide liquidity" to an industry that previously was not traded on exchanges at all. Yea, well when the market is expanding / rising and money is flowing in they rake in huge profits and grow their ETF's exponentially. Then when people want to "sell" these supposedly "liquid" Funds during a market correction, they cry "liquidity crises" and run to the Fed.  WTF?  And the Fed has been all to accommodating for OVER 10 YEARS NOW to these idiots.  The Fed IS the entire credit market now.  I don't give a damn if they are buying fractions or just a billion here and there, it adds up to tens of billions of "created" dollars chasing otherwise illiquid "assets" where the money simply flows to the only "liquid" place left in the ENTIRE UNIVERSE of our supposedly capitalistic "markets", the stock market.  Buying ETF products by the Fed is a crime against the American People, Period.  They are buying these "products" with money given them by the Criminal Assh)L@ running the Treasury right now and the dweebs who shut down the country and created the bill that allocated the money in the first place.  But that is another topic of discussion.

How these ETF products can continue to perpetuate in the market is beyond belief.  They should be frozen to new investors and be wound down immediately then closed and no "fund" or "money market" or any other "product" should every be allowed to exist that advertises itself as liquid when everybody in the damn universe knows this is not the case.  In addition, the Fed needs to stop buying indiscriminately any and all credit products in the name of "providing liquidity" again!  The Market is a Market and "liquidity" has been stressed for some time now DUE TO THE FED's distorting crises based policies that have continued for over 10 years that CREATED an environment that so encouraged leverage that without a complete and total "reset" of the entire financial system, we are in serious trouble of the likes that humanity has never seen.